03:46:11 ack-j:matrix.org: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.01437
03:46:24 ack-j:matrix.org: Inside Qubic’s Selfish Mining Campaign on
03:46:24 ack-j:matrix.org: Monero: Evidence, Tactics, and Limits
03:47:10 ack-j:matrix.org: “In these intervals,
03:47:10 ack-j:matrix.org: Qubic’s average hashrate share rises to the 23-34% range,
03:47:10 ack-j:matrix.org: yet sustained 51% control is never observed.“
03:50:30 ack-j:matrix.org: This is a very thorough analysis
03:54:29 datahoarder: > view–key–based verification can be applied only to blocks that are already definitively included in the main chain; it cannot be used for blocks that are still within an ongoing epoch or for blocks that have already become orphaned.
03:54:29 datahoarder: It can. That's how I released my orphan blocks with proofs, they were done using viewkeys. Monero GUI/CLI indeed does not let you verify them, but a custom verifier is able to check all orphan blocks later on
03:54:29 datahoarder: Example: https://blocks.p2pool.observer/block/b7899ad5f54b8f4ebfdbe44f64d36517b9b1f7994eaaede1aa40b41b6ef2f143[... more lines follow, see https://mrelay.p2pool.observer/e/y7OUsc8KeE1fWWdZ ]
03:55:28 datahoarder: The adaptation involves feeding the miner tx directly, not grabbing it from blockchain data (as it is orphaned)
03:56:33 datahoarder: For example, orphan blocks listed here https://irc.gammaspectra.live/419c0c2b6e8bac8c/qubic-blocks-epoch178.csv include additionally the full block for any verifier to confirm this.
03:59:29 datahoarder: > Empirical refutation of strategic utility: We demonstrate that the deployed strategy was economically ineffective, contrary to the context promoted by the pool.
04:01:01 datahoarder: this was also seen empirically ^ though they improved towards the later days, it still was subpar (from empirical estimates myself they were running ~18% loss compared to pure mining, later on ~10% loss)
04:12:56 datahoarder: > its expected revenue ratio should also fall within this interval, implying a relative loss of roughly 9% − 36% compared to honest mining at the same hashrate.
04:13:20 datahoarder: oh! similar results for them using only main block data and task
04:15:26 datahoarder: (they later estimate 12% from empirical data and not simulations)
04:18:58 datahoarder: They really had a lack of granular data, which we gathered with more granularity (example, the "timeline logs" on https://github.com/WeebDataHoarder/Monero-Timeline-Sep14 which aren't even as verbose as they are in real life, we have 800 GiB of dumps and ~100 GiB of microsecond accurate hashrate submissions and task logs)
04:21:34 datahoarder: The way they processed the data is consistent with internal methods, and they verified the same assumptions (timestamp delay they measured was around 5s, but we had these within 20-80ms of the tasks being created)
04:23:04 datahoarder: Good report, it does not include times during August sadly and they might have missed orphan blocks that didn't end up on the network (but templates for them exist)
04:35:27 datahoarder: Here's some of the granular measured hashrate they had, from Aug 11th to Oct 16th.
04:35:29 datahoarder: https://mrelay.p2pool.observer/m/monero.social/KDbxiJDXvoTwqNBcfwbBrdqP.png (image.png)
04:35:32 datahoarder: ^ 6h buckets
04:37:35 datahoarder: https://mrelay.p2pool.observer/m/monero.social/slHbhaUVYRdamtaaylUMPEUw.png (image.png)
04:37:38 datahoarder: ^ 24h buckets
04:38:54 datahoarder: These are measured in absolute H/s, not network share.
15:48:36 ack-j:matrix.org: Magic Monero Fund is now taking donations to fund increasing monerod fuzzing code coverage. Specifically in src/p2p src/fcmp_po and src/wallet
15:48:36 ack-j:matrix.org: Please consider donating 🙏🏽
15:48:36 ack-j:matrix.org: https://donate.magicgrants.org/monero/projects/fuzzing-monero-2
15:48:59 ack-j:matrix.org: *src/fcmp_pp
19:44:44 321bob321: Maybe post in community
19:45:13 321bob321: And promote on monerotalk
21:00:19 diego:cypherstack.com: Hi. FOSDEM. Anyone want to go? And if so, any people specializing in the p2p networking of Monero want to do a talk or workshop?